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Module 10: Auction Market TheoryAdvanced 20 Min

Lesson 5: 10.4: Defining the Value Area (VAH, VAL, POC)

Calculate Value Area High, Value Area Low, and Point of Control to identify institutional zones.

1. The 70% Value Area Rule

To quantify the fair value zone, Auction Market Theory utilizes a strict statistical measure known as the Value Area.

The Value Area is the range of prices where exactly 70% (representing one standard deviation in a normal distribution curve) of total volume was traded during a specified period.

This 70% zone represents the 'fair' price range where institutions were highly comfortable executing transactions.

2. The Key Reference Levels

By plotting volume-at-price, we derive three critical institutional reference levels:

• Point of Control (POC): The single price level where the absolute highest volume was executed. It represents the ultimate fair value and acts as a massive price magnet.

• Value Area High (VAH): The upper boundary of the Value Area. Prices above VAH are considered expensive (unfairly high).

• Value Area Low (VAL): The lower boundary of the Value Area. Prices below VAL are considered cheap (unfairly low).

A volume profile with the point of control at 104 and the value area from 102.5 to 105.5 shaded
A volume profile in 1-unit price bins from 100 to 108. The point of control (POC) is the busiest price, 104. The value area grows outward from the POC, each time adding the larger neighbor: 104 (100) + 105 (80) + 103 (70) = 250 of 360 units = 69.4%, about 70%. Its edges are VAL 102.5 and VAH 105.5. This is a binning convention close to 70%, not exactly one standard deviation, and not a measure of fair value.

KNOWLEDGE RECONNAISSANCE

Q01.

What percentage of volume is contained within a standard Value Area?

Q02.

What does the Point of Control (POC) represent on a Volume Profile?

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